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THE TALK SHOW AMERICAN: Bombing N. Korean Missile Unlikely

Friday, June 23, 2006

Bombing N. Korean Missile Unlikely

The U.S. suggested Thursday it has limited ability to shoot a North Korean missile out of the sky and spurned suggestions of a pre-emptive strike on the ground. Still, it warned the Koreans would pay a cost for a missile launch.

The nation's missile defense system, which now includes about a dozen interceptor missiles in Alaska and California and on some Navy ships, has suffered multiple test failures since President Bush ordered the Reagan-era program accelerated in early 2001.

Missile defense experts disagree on current U.S. ability to destroy a long-range missile once it is fired. But they seemed in agreement that shooting at it - and missing - would be a huge embarrassment.

A better solution, said Bush's national security adviser, Stephen Hadley, was for the North to "give it up and not launch" the missile that the U.S. believes is being fueled and prepared. "We think diplomacy is the right answer and that is what we are pursuing," Hadley said.

Tensions persisted over North Korea's apparent preparations to test-fire a Taepodong-2 missile amid disagreements over U.S. military options for responding. The missile, with a believed range of up to 9,300 miles, is potentially capable of reaching the mainland United States.

Pentagon officials said they were prepared to use the nation's missile defense system if needed.

The program is a downscaled land-and-sea version of a global defense network first proposed by Reagan that was dubbed "Star Wars" by critics. Interceptor missiles - linked to a network of satellites, radar, computers and command centers - are designed to strike and destroy incoming ballistic missiles.

The Pentagon says the rudimentary system is capable of defending against a limited number of missiles in an emergency _ such as a North Korean attack. More than $100 billion has been spent on the program since 1983, including $7.8 billion authorized for the current fiscal year.

In the most recent test, a Navy ship late last month successfully shot down a long-range missile in its final seconds of flight. Before a successful test in the Pacific in December 2005, interceptor tests had failed five of 11 times.

In developments Thursday:


William Perry, defense secretary in the Clinton administration, advocated a strike on the missile on its launch pad. "Diplomacy has failed, and we cannot sit by and let this deadly threat mature," wrote Perry and former assistant defense secretary Ashton B. Carter in Thursday's Washington Post.

Vice President Dick Cheney said North Korea's "missile capabilities are fairly rudimentary" but that developments were being closely monitored. In an interview with CNN, Cheney rejected Perry's suggestion for a pre-emptive strike. "I think the issue is being addressed appropriately," the vice president said.

Peter Rodman, assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs, said Pyongyang risks unspecified retaliation in proceeding. "If such a launch takes place, we would seek to impose some cost on North Korea," Rodman told the House Armed Services Committee.

Loren Thompson, a defense consultant at the Lexington Institute in Arlington, Va., said there are "two basic problems" with trying to shoot down a Korean missile in the air. "Our system is barely operational. And the impact on Korean perceptions if we miss could be counterproductive."

Said Ivo Daalder, a former Clinton national security aide now at the Brookings Institution: "Either it won't work, in which case you've just undermined the rationale for the system. Or if it does work, you have created an even bigger international crisis."

Hadley, the president's national security adviser, brushed aside Perry's suggestion for a strike against the missile on the launch pad. Instead, he said, "We hope it (North Korea) would come back to the table, and we hope it would be a little sobered by the unanimous message that the international community has sent."

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